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U.S. grains: Corn higher on export demand, short-covering

Reuters, 24.09.18

Soy futures sag on big U.S. harvest, but still gain for week

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. corn futures climbed more than one per cent on Friday to their highest in more than a week, buoyed by end-user demand and fund short-covering, analysts said.

Wheat and soybean futures declined but still recorded weekly advances.

Chicago Board of Trade December corn settled up 4-3/4 cents at $3.57-1/4 per bushel after reaching $3.57-3/4, its highest since Sept. 12 (all figures US$).

CBOT November soybeans ended down three cents at $8.47-1/4 per bushel and December wheat fell 2-1/4 cents at $5.21-3/4 a bushel.

Corn rose for a third straight session after hitting a contract low at $3.42-1/2 on Tuesday, with analysts citing a mix of technical and fundamental factors.

Commodity funds hold a sizable net short position in CBOT corn, leaving the market vulnerable to bouts of short covering.

After the close, weekly Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed funds in the week to Sept. 18 had expanded their net short position to the widest since late January.

Meanwhile, export demand has been strong. The U.S. Department of Agriculture said private exporters sold 121,700 tonnes of U.S. corn to unknown destinations in the past day, and U.S. export sales data released Thursday showed weekly corn sales exceeded market estimates at 1.4 million tonnes.

“Coming into today, we were still the cheapest corn in the world. End-users want to get covered at these prices,” said Don Roose, president of Iowa-based U.S. Commodities.

Some analysts are uncertain about the USDA’s forecast this month of a record-high average corn yield of 181.3 bushels per acre, given early anecdotal harvest reports.

“It looks like a record bean crop is still there. The corn yields are a little more variable,” Roose said.

Rains slowed the corn and soy harvest in the northwestern Midwest this week, although the weekend should be mostly dry.

Soybean futures fell as traders returned their focus to the massive U.S. crop and the ongoing trade dispute with China, the world’s top soy buyer. The U.S. does not have a scheduled date to announce for another round of talks with China, a senior White House official said.

Still, the November soybean contract posted a weekly rise of about two per cent, clawing back from a contract low set Tuesday at $8.12-1/4.

Similarly, CBOT December wheat declined on Friday but rose about two per cent for the week.

Traders appeared to shrug off news that Russia’s IKAR consultancy lowered its estimate of Russia’s 2018 wheat crop to 69.2 million tonnes, from 69.6 million previously.

Russia is the world’s biggest wheat exporter.

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