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Black Sea Grain and Oilseeds 2018/19

Black Sea Grain
and Oilseeds 2018/19

September 6, 2018, Moscow

IKAR in Mass and Industry Media


TABLE-Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan wheat exports and crop outlook

Reuters, 04.07.18


MOSCOW, July 4 (Reuters) - The following are detailed results of a Reuters poll on the outlook for 2018/19 wheat exports and crops in the Black Sea region (in million tonnes).

To see the text of the poll:

Forecasts for Russia and Ukraine exclude 800,000 tonnes of wheat which, according to an average estimate, the Crimea peninsula is expected to produce.

Crimea is exporting some of its grain but its supplies abroad are complicated after Moscow annexed it from Kiev in 2014.

Russia's 2018 wheat crop

Russia's 2018/19 wheat exports

Average

70.5

35.1

Median

70.8

35.0

Min

67.4

32.5

Max

72.2

37.6

Ukraine's 2018 wheat crop

Ukraine's 2018/19 wheat exports

Average

25.4

16.4

Median

26.0

16.0

Min

23.3

15.8

Max

26.5

17.0

Kazakhstan's 2018 wheat crop

Kazakhstan's 2018/19 wheat exports

Average

14.2

7.7

Median

14.0

7.8

Min

13.7

7.3

Max

15.1

8.0

Estimates by the following analysts and officials were used in the poll: the U.S. Department of Agriculture, FAO, IGC, Thomson Reuters Agriculture Research (Lanworth), France's Agritel, Russia's Grain Union, IKAR, SovEcon, Prozerno, Rusagrotrans and Ukraine's Ukragroconsult and Hydromet. One trading firm also participated in the poll but asked not to be identified.

Some of the forecasts were recalculated by Reuters to exclude Crimea.



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