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Bargain buying lifts canola but weather limits gains

producer.com, 09.08.17


Light bargain buying helped lift crop futures into positive territory on Wednesday.

The modest bounce today came after two down days this week, but gains were limited by forecasts for good weather in the U.S. Midwest.

The first part of August in the central United States is expected to be cooler than normal, which would help corn as it fills kernels and soybeans as it sets pods.

The weather outlook for the Canadian Prairies into the first couple of weeks of August remains fairly dry, but the cooler trend from the U.S. could extend into the Prairies.

November canola closed at $501.00 up $2.60 or 0.52 percent.

Corn drew support from a bullish U.S. corn yield estimate from commodity brokerage INTL FCStone, Reuters said.

The firm late Tuesday projected the U.S. corn crop at 13.59 billion bushels, with an average yield of 162.8 bu. per acre. The estimate was well below the USDA’s July forecast for a corn crop of 14.255 billion bu., with a trend-based yield of 170.4 bu per acre.

The USDA issues its next supply and demand forecasts on Aug. 10.

Russian agriculture consultancy IKAR on Tuesday increased its estimate for this year’s wheat production in Russia to a record 74-77 million tonne range.

“If Russia were indeed to harvest a crop at the upper edge of IKAR’s estimate, this would offset the weather-related crop shortfalls in the U.S.,” Commerzbank analysts said in a note, Reuters reported

OUTSIDE MARKETS

Light crude oil nearby futures in New York were up 43 cents US$49.59 per barrel.

In the afternoon, the Canadian dollar was trading around US79.58 cents, down from 79.72 cents the previous trading day. The U.S. dollar was C$1.2566.

The Toronto Stock Exchange’s S&P/TSX composite index ended up 63.53 points, or 0.42 percent, at 15,265.63, its highest close since June 28.

The Dow broke through 22,000 points to a new record high.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.24 percent to end at 22,016.24. The S&P 500 gained 0.05 percent to 2,477.57 and the Nasdaq Composite was flat at 6,362.65.

Winnipeg ICE Futures Canada dollars per tonne

Canola Nov 17 501.00s +2.60 +0.52%
Canola Jan 18 506.40s +2.50 +0.50%
Canola Mar 18 510.30s +2.50 +0.49%
Canola May 18 513.20s +2.90 +0.57%
Canola Jul 18 515.50s +2.60 +0.51%

Milling Wheat Oct 17 278.00s +4.00 +1.46%
Milling Wheat Dec 17 281.00s +4.00 +1.44%
Milling Wheat Mar 18 287.00s +5.00 +1.77%

Durum Wheat Oct 17 310.00s +2.00 +0.65%
Durum Wheat Dec 17 311.00s +2.00 +0.65%
Durum Wheat Mar 18 293.00s +2.00 +0.69%

Barley Oct 17 145.00s unch unch
Barley Dec 17 141.00s unch unch
Barley Mar 18 141.00s unch unch

American crop prices in cents US/bushel, soybean meal in $US/short ton, soy oil in cents US/pound. Prices are displayed with fractions (2/8, 4/8, and 6/8) instead of decimals. -2 equals .25, -4 equals .50, -6 equals .75. The “s” means it is the settlement.

Chicago

Soybeans Aug 17 966-4s +7-0 +0.73%
Soybeans Sep 17 970-6s +6-4 +0.67%
Soybeans Nov 17 977-4s +5-6 +0.59%
Soybeans Jan 18 986-4s +5-6 +0.59%
Soybeans Mar 18 993-4s +6-4 +0.66%

Soybean Meal Aug 17 309.0s +0.7 +0.23%
Soybean Meal Sep 17 311.2s +0.9 +0.29%
Soybean Meal Oct 17 312.8s +0.8 +0.26%

Soybean Oil Aug 17 34.15s +0.29 +0.86%
Soybean Oil Sep 17 34.26s +0.29 +0.85%
Soybean Oil Oct 17 34.38s +0.30 +0.88%

Corn Sep 17 365-0s +2-4 +0.69%
Corn Dec 17 379-0s +2-4 +0.66%
Corn Mar 18 391-0s +2-4 +0.64%
Corn May 18 396-4s +2-4 +0.63%
Corn Jul 18 402-0s +2-6 +0.69%

Oats Sep 17 289-4s +9-2 +3.30%
Oats Dec 17 289-4s +8-0 +2.84%
Oats Mar 18 289-0s +6-6 +2.39%
Oats May 18 288-0s +6-4 +2.31%
Oats Jul 18 286-6s +6-4 +2.32%

Wheat Sep 17 460-6s -0-4 -0.11%
Wheat Dec 17 487-6s unch unch
Wheat Mar 18 509-2s -0-2 -0.05%
Wheat May 18 523-0s +0-4 +0.10%
Wheat Jul 18 532-0s +1-0 +0.19%

Minneapolis

Spring Wheat Sep 17 722-2s +4-2 +0.59%
Spring Wheat Dec 17 735-2s +4-4 +0.62%
Spring Wheat Mar 18 734-4s +4-6 +0.65%
Spring Wheat May 18 724-0s +3-4 +0.49%
Spring Wheat Jul 18 713-6s +6-0 +0.85%

Kansas City

Hard Red Wheat Sep 17 464-4s -0-6 -0.16%
Hard Red Wheat Dec 17 492-0s -0-6 -0.15%
Hard Red Wheat Mar 18 509-6s -0-6 -0.15%
Hard Red Wheat May 18 523-6s -0-2 -0.05%
Hard Red Wheat Jul 18 539-0s +0-6 +0.14%

Chicago livestock futures in US¢/pound (rounded to two decimal places)

Live Cattle (Pit) Aug 17 114.525s +1.725 +1.53%
Live Cattle (Pit) Oct 17 114.675s +1.800 +1.59%
Live Cattle (Pit) Dec 17 115.875s +1.675 +1.47%

Feeder Cattle (Pit) Aug 17 150.250s +1.075 +0.72%
Feeder Cattle (Pit) Sep 17 150.600s +1.150 +0.77%
Feeder Cattle (Pit) Oct 17 150.100s +1.250 +0.84%

Lean Hogs (Pit) Aug 17 81.950s +2.150 +2.69%
Lean Hogs (Pit) Oct 17 66.225s +1.825 +2.83%
Lean Hogs (Pit) Dec 17 60.625s +1.225 +2.06%

http://producer.com/daily/bargain-buying-lifts-canola-but-weather-limits-gains/



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